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Daily Runoff Prediction with a Seasonal Decomposition-Based Deep GRU Method

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
He, Feifei;Wan, Qinjuan;Wang, Yongqiang;Wu, Jiang;Zhang, Xiaoqi;...
通讯作者:
Wan, QJ
作者机构:
[Zhang, Xiaoqi; Feng, Yu; Wu, Jiang; He, Feifei; Wang, Yongqiang] Minist Water Resources China, Changjiang Water Resources Commiss, Changjiang River Sci Res Inst, Wuhan 430010, Hubei, Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Xiaoqi; Feng, Yu; Wu, Jiang; He, Feifei; Wang, Yongqiang] China Yangtze Power Co Ltd, Hubei Key Lab Intelligent Yangtze & Hydroelect Sci, Yichang 443000, Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Xiaoqi; Feng, Yu; Wu, Jiang; He, Feifei; Wang, Yongqiang] Changjiang Water Resources Commiss, Res Ctr Yangtze River Econ Belt Protect & Dev Stra, Wuhan 430010, Peoples R China.
[Wan, Qinjuan; Wan, QJ] Cent China Normal Univ, Sch Econ & Business Adm, Wuhan 430010, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Wan, QJ ] C
Cent China Normal Univ, Sch Econ & Business Adm, Wuhan 430010, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
runoff prediction;seasonal decomposition;machine learning;gated recurrent unit;hyperparameter optimization
期刊:
Water
ISSN:
2073-4441
年:
2024
卷:
16
期:
4
页码:
618-
基金类别:
This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program Youth Scientist Project of China, as part of a project entitled “Medium and Long-term Water Resource Prediction Technology for the Water Source Area of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project” (2023YFC3210500); the Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province (2021CFB151, 2022CFD027); the central research institutes of Basic Research and Public Service Special Operations (CKSF2021441/SZ); the Key Project of Chinese Water Resources Ministry (SKS-2022120); the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 42271044, No. 52109003, No. 52009005).
机构署名:
本校为通讯机构
院系归属:
经济与工商管理学院
摘要:
Accurately predicting hydrological runoff is crucial for water resource allocation and power station scheduling. However, there is no perfect model that can accurately predict future runoff. In this paper, a daily runoff prediction method with a seasonal decomposition-based-deep gated-recurrent-unit (GRU) method (SD-GRU) is proposed. The raw data is preprocessed and then decomposed into trend, seasonal, and residual components using the seasonal decomposition algorithm. The deep GRU model is then used to predict each subcomponent, which is then...

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