期刊论文

Tu Zhengge

中文

中国社会科学

1002-4921

2014

35

3

158-173

10.1080/02529203.2014.927105

(08AJY032,07AJY010). and Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University of Ministry of Education (NCET-10-0409):This research was a stage result supported by the Major Program of the National Social Science Fund of China :The author hereby express his thanks to the anonymous reviewers for their constructive suggestions :All responsibility lies with the author

本校为第一且通讯机构

在中国现实国情下，如何实现低碳发展事关国家的长远发展战略。研究结果发现：经济规模每增长1个百分点，碳排放量平均增加15百万吨（MT），但是不同行业间经济增长的边际碳排放量差异很大；经济结构重型化加剧碳排放的增加，制造业比重每增加1个百分点，碳排放量平均增加56MT；技术进步推动能源强度下降，是减少碳排放的核心动力，能源强度每下降1个百分点，碳排放量平均减少33MT；以煤炭为主的能源结构导致碳排放密度居高不下，能源结构变化的减排效应并不显著，但是，综合碳排放密度下降是一个积极的信号，显现出能源结构优化的迹象。推动产业结构调整、能源结构优化，促进节能技术与工艺创新...

This article uses the refined Laspeyres index decomposition method to examine the overall trends and characteristics of carbon emissions in eight Chinese industries for the period 1994-2008. The results show that every one percentage point increase in economic scale will result in an average increase of 15 Mt (million tonnes) in carbon emissions. However, different industries vary greatly in terms of marginal carbon emissions caused by economic growth. The economic structure’s bias toward heavy industry fuels the increase of carbon emissions: ...