Cultivated land protection is an important subject of land policy regulation, and its implementation is an important guarantee for maintaining social stability and national food security. The cultivated land protection policy tool is the specific means adopted by the policy implementers to achieve the goal of cultivated land protection, and the differentiated policy tools will directly affect the effect of cultivated land protection. This study used the Markov-switching VAR model to reveal the dynamic nonlinear characteristics of the relationship between policy tools and the effect of cultivat...