期刊论文

The Empirical Analysis and Forecast on the Relationship between China's Demographic Dividend and Economic Growth

中文

华中师范大学研究生学报

2012

02

150-156+162

本校为第一机构

经济增长与人口因素密不可分。文章采用1994-2010年的全国数据,对人力资本存量、劳动年龄人口比重、物质资本存量与经济增长之间的关系进行实证分析,并在此基础上进行简单预测。结果显示:人力资本存量、劳动年龄人口比重及物质资本存量对经济增长具有显著的促进作用,且在现阶段人口红利因素对经济增长贡献较大。

There is a close relationship between economic growth and population.This paper adopts national data from 1994-2010 and conducts empirical analysis among substance capital stock,human capital stock,formal labor market force ratio and economic growth.The results show that substance capital stock,human capital stock and formal labor market force ratio have a notable influence on GDP.Moreover,demographic dividend makes greater contrib...