期刊论文

中文

齐齐哈尔大学学报(哲学社会科学版)

1008-2638

2019

3

74-79

10.13971/j.cnki.cn23-1435/c.2019.03.020

本校为第一机构

利用UNCOMTRADE的贸易数据,构建2009-2017年欧盟成员国之间国际贸易的关系网络,采用社会网络分析方法,测算欧盟各成员国的中心度和结构洞指数,采用GM(1.1)测算欧盟各成员国2009-2017年的中心度、结构洞指数和贸易竞争力的模拟值以及2018-2020年的预测值。依据卡兹影响力指数和贸易竞争力大小以及传统的分类,将欧盟成员国划分为内环、中环和外环,并依次构建三个面板数据模型。通过测算发现:中心度和结构洞正向地影响一国的外贸竞争力,其影响系数按照内环、中环和外环的顺序在递减,而且结构洞对外贸竞争力的影响大于中心度对外贸竞争力的影响。中心势不直接影响一国的外贸竞争力,仅仅在中心度和结...

Based on UNCOMTRADE,this paper establishes the relationship network of international trade among EU member states from 2009 to 2017. Then,using the social network analysis method ,this paper calculated the centrality and structural hole index of EU member states,and calculated simulated values from 2009 to 2017 and forecast values from 2018-2020 of the centrality,structural hole index and trade competitiveness of EU member states based of GM(1,1)method. Thereafter,according to the Katz influence index,trade competitiveness and traditional classification,EU member states are divided into inner,...