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A Novel Robust Grey Model for Forecasting Chinese Electricity Demand

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Yao, Riquan;Jin, Shaojun;Wei, Cong;Kong, Jiayang
通讯作者:
Kong, J.
作者机构:
[Yao, Riquan] State Grid Zhejiang Elect Power Co Ltd, Huzhou Power Supply Co, Huzhou, Peoples R China.
[Jin, Shaojun] State Grid Zhejiang Elect Power Co Ltd, Hangzhou, Peoples R China.
[Wei, Cong] Zhejiang Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Econ, Hangzhou, Peoples R China.
[Kong, Jiayang] Cent China Normal Univ, Sch Econ & Business Adm, Wuhan, Peoples R China.
[Kong, Jiayang] Cent China Normal Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Wuhan, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Cong Wei; Jiayang Kong; Shaojun Jin] S
[Riquan Yao] H
School of Economics and Business Administration,Central China Normal University,Wuhan,China<&wdkj&>School of Mathematics and Statistics,Central China Normal University,Wuhan,China<&wdkj&>School of Business and Economics,Maastricht University,Maastricht,Netherlands<&wdkj&>State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co, Ltd,Hangzhou,null,China<&wdkj&>School of Economics,Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics,Hangzhou,China<&wdkj&>Huzhou Power Supply Company of State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co, Ltd,Huzhou,null,China
语种:
英文
关键词:
Introduction;Materials and Methods;Results;Discussion;Conclusion;Abstract;Data Availability;Additional Points;Ethical Approval;Consent;Disclosure;Conflicts of Interests;Authors’ Contributions;Funding Statement;Acknowledgements;Acknowledgments;Supplementary Materials;Reference;Dataset Description;Dataset Files;Abstract;Introduction;Introduction and Materials;Introduction and Methods;Materials;Materials and Methods;Methods;Results;Discussion;Results and Discussion;Discussion and Conclusion;Results and Conclusion;Conclusion;Conclusions;Data Availability;Additional Points;Ethical Approval;Consent;Disclosure;Conflicts of Interest;Authors’ Contributions;Funding Statement;Acknowledgements;Supplementary Materials;References;Appendix;Abbreviations;Preliminaries;Introduction and Preliminaries;Notation;Proof of Theorem;Proofs;Analysis of Results;Examples;Numerical Example;Applications;Numerical Simulation;Model;Model Formulation;Systematic Palaeontology;Nomenclatural Acts;Taxonomic Implications;Experimental;Synthesis;Overview;Characterization;Background;Experimental;Theories;Calculations;Model Verification;Model Implementation;Geographic location;Study Area;Geological setting;Data Collection;Field Testing;Data and Sampling;Dataset;Literature Review;Related Works;Related Work;System Model;Methods and Data;Experimental Results;Results and Analysis;Evaluation;Implementation;Case Presentation;Case Report;Search Terms;Case Description;Case Series;Background;Limitations;Additional Points;Case;Case 1;Case 2 etc.;Concern Details;Retraction Details;Copyright;Related Articles
期刊:
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
ISSN:
1026-0226
年:
2022
卷:
2022
机构署名:
本校为其他机构
院系归属:
数学与统计学学院
经济与工商管理学院
摘要:
The grey model, which is abbreviated as GM (1, 1), has been widely applied in the fields of decision and prediction, particularly in the prediction of time series with few observations, referred to as the poor information and small sample in the literature related to grey model. Previous studies focus on improving the accuracy of prediction but pay less attention to the robustness of the grey model to outliers, which often occur in practice due to an incorrect record by chance or an accidental failure in equipment. To fill that void, we develop a robust grey model, whose structural parameters ...

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