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Forecasting of Customs Export Based on Gray Theory

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Zhang Dabin;Zhu Hou;Zhang Jingguang
作者机构:
[Zhang Jingguang; Zhang Dabin; Zhu Hou] Huazhong Normal Univ, Informat Management Dept, Wuhan 430079, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
foreign export;forecasting;grey theory
期刊:
2009 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE AND FINANCIAL ENGINEERING, PROCEEDINGS
年:
2009
页码:
630-633
机构署名:
本校为第一机构
院系归属:
信息管理学院
摘要:
Customs export plays a pivotal role in this country's economy and the social change. Forecasting customs export efficiently enables policy makers to plan more appropriately and thus to help to improve the balance of trade. Customs export traditionally is forecasted by using econometric methods. This paper focused on the gray theory and uses GM(1,1) model to forecast Hubei Province's export value via historical data. The results show that this model can forecast customs export more accurately than can an econometric mode...

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