期刊论文

Temporal-Spatial Evolution of War-Epidemic Disasters in Historical China

中文

灾害学

1000-811X

2019

34

1

78-86

10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2019.01.016

国家社会科学基金项目(11AZD117,12&ZD145) 国家自然科学基金项目(41171408).

本校为第一机构

战争与疫灾均是人类的顶级灾害,战争与疫灾叠加的兵疫灾害,危害尤巨。中国自先秦至清代（770BC-1911AD）的2 682年中,至少有224个兵疫之年,兵疫灾害频度8. 05%,兵疫灾害波及539县。兵疫灾害频度具有波动上升趋势,先秦两汉（1. 21%）经魏晋南北朝（8. 03%）至隋唐五代（5. 54%）为第一波,宋元时期（7. 35%）经明代（15. 22%）至清代（33. 58%）为第二波。兵疫灾害频度变化具有时序共振特征,1860年代的太平天国运动是中国历史上兵疫灾害最密集的时期;兵疫灾害广度变化具有波动上升趋势,大致以隋唐五代为界,之前影响范围有限,大多只有一个县域,之后影响范围不断扩大,最高可达33个县域。兵疫灾害分布...

War and epidemic cause the most serious damage to human beings,and the superposition of both can cause even more serious harmful consequence. During the past 2682 years, there are at least 224 years with war and epidemic disasters taking place simultaneity, the frequency of which is 8. 05% and cumulatively spread o-ver 539 counties. The frequency of war and epidemic disasters shows rising tendency : the first wave begins from the pre-Qin and two Han Dynasties (1. 21% ) , to the Wei, Jin and the Southern and Northern Dynasties (8. 03% ), and ends at the Sui, Tang and five dynasties (5. 54% ) ; ...