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Forecasting natural gas consumption of China by using a novel fractional grey model with time power term

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Liu, Chong;Wu, Wen-Ze;Xie, Wanli;Zhang, Tao;Zhang, Jun
通讯作者:
Wu, Wen-Ze(wenzew@mails.ccnu.edu.cn)
作者机构:
[Liu, Chong; Zhang, Jun] Inner Mongolia Agr Univ, Sch Sci, Hohhot 010018, Peoples R China.
[Wu, Wen-Ze] Cent China Normal Univ, Sch Econ & Business Adm, Wuhan 430079, Peoples R China.
[Xie, Wanli] Nanjing Normal Univ, Inst EduInfo Sci & Engn, Nanjing 210097, Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Tao] Guangxi Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Sci, Liuzhou 545006, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Wen-Ze Wu; Tao Zhang] S
School of Economics and Business Administration, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China<&wdkj&>School of Science, Guangxi University of Science and Technology, Liuzhou 545006, China
语种:
英文
关键词:
Natural gas consumption;DFGM(1,1,t(alpha));Quantum Genetic Algorithm (QGA)
期刊:
Energy Reports
ISSN:
2352-4847
年:
2021
卷:
7
页码:
788-797
基金类别:
Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of ChinaFundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities [2019YBZZ062]; Postgraduate Research & Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province, China [KYCX20_1144]; National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [11861014]; Natural Science Foundation of Guangxi, ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of Guangxi Province [2018GXNSFAA281145, 2020JJA10007]
机构署名:
本校为其他机构
院系归属:
经济与工商管理学院
摘要:
Natural gas, an important low-carbon and clean energy, is increasingly replacing high-pollution sources such as coal and gasoline. Accurate natural gas consumption forecasts are important to policy makers in making plans, saving costs, and improving efficiency. This study developed a discrete fractional grey model with a time power term (denoted as DFGM(1,1,t(alpha))) with reference to the discretization technique. The new model is simplified, generalized, and overcomes existing model drawbacks. Moreover, the quantum genetic algorithm (QGA) is used to determine the new coefficients, namely, th...

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