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Analysis of the international gold market state based on Markov chain

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成果类型:
期刊论文、会议论文
作者:
Ying Cheng;Kai Tan;Qiao Wang;Dong Fang Zhao
通讯作者:
Cheng, Y.
作者机构:
[Wang Q.; Cheng Y.; Zhao D.] School of Mathematics and Statistics, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China
[Tan K.] School of Economics and Business Administration, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China
通讯机构:
[Cheng, Y.] S
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Central China Normal UniversityChina
语种:
英文
关键词:
Forecast;International gold;Markov chain;State conversion
期刊:
Applied Mechanics and Materials
ISSN:
1662-7482
年:
2014
卷:
687-691
页码:
4946-4949
会议名称:
2014 International Conference on Manufacturing Technology and Electronics Applications, ICMTEA 2014
会议时间:
8 November 2014 through 9 November 2014
主编:
Lin Z.Hu H.Zhang Y.Qiao J.Xu J.
出版者:
Trans Tech Publications Ltd
ISBN:
9783038353287
机构署名:
本校为第一且通讯机构
院系归属:
数学与统计学学院
经济与工商管理学院
摘要:
This paper focuses on the time series data about the closing price of international gold for 84 trading days between December 2013 and March 2014. The related information is from Shanghai Gold Exchange. Firstly, the analysis concerning fluctuations of return rate about the international gold market is conducted through various descriptive statistics such as skewness, kurtosis and etc. Then, the Markov Chain is applied in distinguishing the five states in international gold market, as well as the shifts and patterns among them. And these states ...

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