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A Novel Optimized Nonlinear Grey Bernoulli Model for Forecasting China's GDP

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Wu, Wen-Ze*;Zhang, Tao;Zheng, Chengli
通讯作者:
Wu, Wen-Ze
作者机构:
[Zheng, Chengli; Wu, Wen-Ze] Cent China Normal Univ, Sch Econ & Business Adm, Wuhan 430079, Hubei, Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Tao] Guangxi Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Sci, Liuzhou 545006, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Wu, Wen-Ze] C
Cent China Normal Univ, Sch Econ & Business Adm, Wuhan 430079, Hubei, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
期刊:
Complexity
ISSN:
1076-2787
年:
2019
卷:
2019
页码:
1731262:1-1731262:10
基金类别:
National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China [11861014, 11561006]; Natural Science Foundation of GuangxiNational Natural Science Foundation of Guangxi Province [2018JJA110013]; Humanities and Social Science Planning Fund from Ministry of Education [16YJAZH078]; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of ChinaFundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities [CCNU 19TS062, CCNU19A06043, CCNU19TD006]; raising initial capital for High-Level Talents of Central China Normal University [30101190001]
机构署名:
本校为第一且通讯机构
院系归属:
经济与工商管理学院
摘要:
The nonlinear grey Bernoulli model, abbreviated as NGBM(1,1), has been successfully applied to control, prediction, and decision-making fields, especially in the prediction of nonlinear small sample time series. However, there are still some problems in improving the prediction accuracy of NGBM(1,1). In this paper, we propose a novel optimized nonlinear grey Bernoulli model for forecasting Chinas GDP. In the new model, the structure and parameters of NGBM(1,1) are optimized simultaneously. Especially, the latest item of first-order accumulative...

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