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Mathematical modeling of tuberculosis data of China

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Zhang, Jinhui*;Li, Yong;Zhang, Xinan
通讯作者:
Zhang, Jinhui
作者机构:
[Zhang, Jinhui] Zhongyuan Univ Technol, Coll Sci, Zhengzhou 450007, Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Xinan; Zhang, Jinhui] Cent China Normal Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Wuhan 430079, Peoples R China.
[Li, Yong] Yangtze Univ, Sch Informat & Math, Jinzhou 434023, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Zhang, Jinhui] Z
Zhongyuan Univ Technol, Coll Sci, Zhengzhou 450007, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
disease control;disease prevalence;estimation method;infectious disease;numerical model;tuberculosis;Article;basic reproduction number;chi square test;China;clinical effectiveness;controlled study;data analysis;human;infection control;intermethod comparison;mathematical analysis;mathematical model;nonhuman;process development;process optimization;tuberculosis;biological model;tuberculosis;China;China;Humans;Models, Biological;Tuberculosis
期刊:
Journal of Theoretical Biology
ISSN:
0022-5193
年:
2015
卷:
365
页码:
159-163
基金类别:
National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [10701037]
机构署名:
本校为其他机构
院系归属:
数学与统计学学院
摘要:
This paper concentrates on the tuberculosis data of China from January 2005 to December 2012. We set up a mathematical model to fit those data with the goodness of fit and obtain the optimal parameter values of the model. By the Chi-square test of the statistical inference, the optimal parameter values of the model are reasonable. We get the effective reproductive number of the disease for each year, and also investigate the preventive measures to control t...

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