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Partial Immunity and Vaccination for Influenza

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Zhang, Xinan*;Zhao, Yingdong;Neumann, Avidan U.
通讯作者:
Zhang, Xinan
作者机构:
[Zhang, Xinan] Cent China Normal Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Wuhan 430079, Peoples R China.
[Zhao, Yingdong] NCI, Biometr Res Branch, Bethesda, MD 20892 USA.
[Neumann, Avidan U.] Bar Ilan Univ, Fac Life Sci, Ramat Gan, Israel.
通讯机构:
[Zhang, Xinan] C
Cent China Normal Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Wuhan 430079, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
chi-square test of goodness of fit;influenza type A;mathematical modeling
期刊:
JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY
ISSN:
1066-5277
年:
2010
卷:
17
期:
12
页码:
1689-1696
基金类别:
National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
机构署名:
本校为第一且通讯机构
院系归属:
数学与统计学学院
摘要:
In this article, we estimated the basic reproductive numbers by mathematical modeling and computer simulation using the hospitalization data of influenza type A (H3N2) from the United States as provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) from the 2001 to 2006 influenza seasons, respectively. The mean value of basic reproductive number from the 2001-2002 to 2005-2006 influenza seasons is 1.2440, with a 95% confidence interval of 1.1170-1.3710. Our model predicts that the proportion of vaccination of susceptible is 20% and 60...

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