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Improving Predictive Modeling for At-Risk Student Identification: A Multistage Approach

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Hung, Jui-Long;Shelton, Brett E.;Yang, Juan;Du, Xu*
通讯作者:
Du, Xu
作者机构:
[Hung, Jui-Long] Cent China Normal Univ, Natl Engn Lab Educ Big Data, Wuhan 430079, Hubei, Peoples R China.
[Hung, Jui-Long] Dept Educ Technol, Boise, ID 83725 USA.
[Shelton, Brett E.] Boise State Univ, Dept Educ Technol, Boise, ID 83725 USA.
[Yang, Juan; Du, Xu] Cent China Normal Univ, Natl Engn Res Ctr E Learning, Wuhan 430079, Hubei, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Du, Xu] C
Cent China Normal Univ, Natl Engn Res Ctr E Learning, Wuhan 430079, Hubei, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
Analytical models;educational technology;learning management systems (LMS);predictive methods;predictive models
期刊:
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON LEARNING TECHNOLOGIES
ISSN:
1939-1382
年:
2019
卷:
12
期:
2
页码:
148-157
基金类别:
Manuscript received August 30, 2018; revised March 29, 2019; accepted April 9, 2019. Date of publication April 15, 2019; date of current version June 17, 2019. This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 61877027. (Corresponding author: Xu Du.) J.-L. Hung is with the National Engineering Laboratory for Educational Big Data, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China, and the Department of Educational Technology, Boise, ID 83725, USA (e-mail: andyhung@boisestate.edu). B. E. Shelton is with the Department of Educational Technology, Boise State University, Boise, ID 83725, USA (e-mail: brettshelton@boisestate.edu). J. Yang and X. Du are with the National Engineering Research Center for E-Learning, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China (e-mail: yangjuan_hust@163.com; duxu@mail.ccnu.edu.cn). Digital Object Identifier 10.1109/TLT.2019.2911072
机构署名:
本校为第一且通讯机构
院系归属:
国家数字化学习工程技术研究中心
摘要:
Performance prediction is a leading topic in learning analytics research due to its potential to impact all tiers of education. This study proposes a novel predictive modeling method to address the research gaps in existing performance prediction research. The gaps addressed include: the lack of existing research focus on performance prediction rather than identifying key performance factors; the lack of common predictors identified for both K-12 and higher education environments; and the misplaced focus on absolute engagement levels rather tha...

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