期刊论文

Spatio-temporal Differences of Sexually Transmitted Diseases in China and Its Relationship with Economic Development：A Case Study of Gonorrhea and Syphilis

中文

热带地理

1001-5221

2016

36

5

761-766

10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.002879

41301187:国家自然科学基金 71103073:国家自然科学基金

本校为第一机构

综合采用变异系数、收敛性检验、分位数回归等方法考察中国2004―2014年2类经典性病（淋病、梅毒）疫情的时空差异特征与经济驱动机制，结果表明：1）2004年以来，中国2类性病的发病水平呈现“淋病降、梅毒升”的时序变化特征，病种结构发生转换，总体发病规模持续扩增；2）每年新发淋病数的地区差异略有增加，发病率差异持续降低，总体发病水平明显收敛，各地区预期会逐步趋同于某一较低水平，梅毒疫情预期将逐步趋同于某一较高水平；3）经济发展对低、中、高3类发病水平的疫情变化均有显著的正向影响，部分地区存在明显的“经济越发展，疫情越严重”现象。

SexuallyTransmitted Diseases(STD)is a kind of transmitted disease which is seriouslyharmful to human health. This paper, using the variation coefficient, the convergence test method and quantile regression, focused on the spatio-temporal characteristics and economic driving mechanism of gonorrhea and syphilis epidemic in China, 2004-2014.The results showed that: 1) The patient number of gonorrhea had decreased, but syphilis patients increased since 2004, the relative proportion was transformed, and the overall patient number continuously increa...