期刊论文

Spatial Changes of AIDS Epidemic and Population Mobility in China

中文

热带地理

1001-5221

2017

37

4

538-546

10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.002961

国家自然科学基金（41301187）；

本校为第一机构

艾滋病是一类严重危害人类健康的恶性传染病,随着全球流动性的增强,其空间蔓延速度越来越快.文章综合采用空间自相关、收敛性检验、主成分回归等方法探讨了中国2004―2014年艾滋病新发疫情的时空变化特征及其与人口流动性的关系.结果表明:1)2004年以来全国艾滋病发病数、发病率快速增长,新发疫情水平在总体上呈现出"南高、北低,西高、东低"空间分布格局和"西快、东慢、中部最慢"异速增长特征;2)各省区新发疫情存在空间自相关现象,地理集聚趋势比较明显,在西南地区形成1处以广西、云南、贵州为中心的高发连片区,在西北、东北等地形成多处低发连片区;3)新发病数的时空变化存在一定收敛性,未来省际...

AIDS is a kind of serious infectious disease which seriously endangers human health. With the increase of global mobility, the speed of the spatial spreading is faster and faster in China. The cross-region flow of China's population continues to increase, and the speed continues to accelerate. In this context, spatial auto-correlation, convergence test and principal component regression were used to investigate the spatial and temporal changes of new AIDS epidemics and its relationship with population mobility in China from 2004 to 2014 in this paper. The basic data used in the study came from...