期刊论文

Neighborhood Conduction of House Price Expectations:Influence Mechanism and Empirical Analysis

中文

华中师范大学学报(人文社会科学版)

1000-2456

2022

61

1

52-62

10.19992/j.cnki.1000-2456.2022.01.007

2019年教育部哲学与社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“建立健全住房基础性制度和房地产市场平稳健康发展长效机制研究”（19JZD012）；

本校为第一机构

预期是影响人们经济行为的重要因素,利用中国家庭追踪调查数据,研究居民房价预期的邻里传导效应,研究结果表明:居民房价预期存在显著的邻里效应,即邻里对房价的预期影响居民个体对房价的预期,且这种影响是同方向的。房价预期的邻里传导效应在不同认知水平的个体之间存在差异,随着居民个体认知能力的提升,传导效应相应减弱。同时,信息渠道的拓展降低了居民个体房价预期的邻里传导效应,相较于电视传媒,互联网的替代作用更大。子样本研究表明,房价预期的邻里效应在城乡居民和高低年龄段居民中均显著存在。上述结论在运用工具变量法和控制各种影响因素后依然稳健,对可能影响本文结论的群分效应和同城...

Expectation is an important factor affecting people’s economic behavior.Using the data of China Family Panel Studies(CFPS),this paper studies the neighborhood conductive effect on residents’house price expectations.The results show that residents’house price expectations present a significant neighborhood conductive effect,that is,the neighbors’house price expectations affects the individual residents’house price expectations,and this influence is positively related.The neighborhood effect on house price expectations is different among ind...