期刊论文

An Empirical Study of the Real Estate Market Structure and Its Relation to the Level of Price in our Country

中文

开放时代

1004-2938

2007

4

62-71

10.3969/j.issn.1004-2938.2007.04.005

国家自然科学基金项目（70440001）;国务院经济普查办公室课题（JP63）

本校为第一机构

本文通过时间序列数据分析住宅产品价格体系之间的因果关系,利用截面数据建立多元计量模型量化住宅市场产品结构对房价的影响力度.实证研究表明我国住宅结构失衡是导致住宅市场价格上升的主要因素,当前的房价上涨实质为结构性泡沫.稳定或保持适度的住宅价格上涨,应采取增加经济适用房、普通住宅的供给;建立完善的住房保障体系;实施有区别的税收、信贷政策,完善住宅市场监管体系等措施.

This paper analyzes casualty relation between residence products＇ price systems based on the time series data, calculates residence market products structure＇s diverse influence strength to housing price through building multi-linear regression model based on cross sectional data. The research results show that absurdity in residence structure pushed the housing price increase, and the housing price bubble is elementally structure bubble. In order to stabilize housing price, we should increase the supply of the economical and applicable house...